Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 1.772815 2.036368 2.330173 2.682783 3.095534 3.564641 4.139978
2025-03-23 1.349423 1.692307 2.113551 2.672651 3.400492 4.323013 5.592137
2025-03-30 1.107322 1.471006 1.947447 2.624115 3.571428 4.866795 6.800273
2025-04-06 0.970479 1.350732 1.875633 2.663947 3.836621 5.546477 8.283846
2025-04-13 0.840317 1.215215 1.755568 2.605796 3.936969 5.987107 9.473975
2025-04-20 0.778438 1.166634 1.749253 2.707260 4.282205 6.839097 11.452169
2025-04-27 0.702794 1.086018 1.681574 2.699043 4.444823 7.414321 13.062046
2025-05-04 0.658729 1.048237 1.674197 2.784016 4.769480 8.305418 15.393192
2025-05-11 0.607681 0.992530 1.629759 2.797797 4.967840 8.997726 17.475883
2025-05-18 0.563105 0.942237 1.587718 2.808379 5.158477 9.699981 19.708502
2025-05-25 0.509789 0.871107 1.501334 2.726140 5.159398 10.030544 21.220640
2025-06-01 0.475777 0.830394 1.464286 2.730951 5.329573 10.724572 23.664823
2025-06-08 0.433512 0.775166 1.403297 2.699352 5.459347 11.438419 26.529095
2025-06-15 0.397022 0.727681 1.353360 2.687758 5.641654 12.332190 30.153232
2025-06-22 0.361282 0.677127 1.290579 2.638965 5.731940 13.032307 33.482535
2025-06-29 0.339085 0.650257 1.271099 2.679045 6.030738 14.292051 38.705941
2025-07-06 0.310049 0.606332 1.211246 2.620529 6.085165 14.954450 42.432472
2025-07-13 0.298286 0.596425 1.221294 2.722631 6.552949 16.798683 50.346948
2025-07-20 0.278534 0.567501 1.186776 2.714362 6.737806 17.917413 56.338964
2025-07-27 0.267751 0.556628 1.190692 2.799870 7.187519 19.897500 65.979867
2025-08-03 0.252771 0.534905 1.167409 2.813739 7.443920 21.369394 74.379209
2025-08-10 0.238909 0.514249 1.144195 2.824388 7.694056 22.886954 83.568827
2025-08-17 0.220548 0.481490 1.088688 2.741629 7.655015 23.467568 89.269154